Sunday, March 3, 2013

Russia's Dirty Little Secret - Russian Polulation Literally Fading Away

This really is an amazing story on what is really going on with the Russian population - remember this the next time you hear...."the Russians are coming!"

From the article at Strategy Page:


The rapidly aging Russian population is not only shrinking but is not fit for any major economic or military efforts. During the last decade it was discovered that some 60 percent of Russians are elderly, children, or disabled. Out of 20 million males of working age, one million are in prison, a million in the armed forces (including paramilitaries), five million are unemployed (or unemployable due to poor education, health, or attitude), four million are chronic alcoholics, and a million are drug addicts.

That is simply...staggering.  I've mentioned here the high percentage of Muslims in the Russian army and one has to believe that this will only continue to increase.

(Hat Tip:  ORD)


Russians Fading Away Faster


For centuries Russia was considered a threat to its neighbors by virtue of its larger population. But since the Soviet Union fell apart in 1991 (and half the population broke away to form 14 new nations) the remaining Russian population has been in decline. Twenty years after the Soviet Union collapsed, the Russian population implosion is getting worse. While in the 1990s the population was shrinking at a rate of .1 percent a year, in the last decade that has increased to .2 percent a year. This is because the non-Slav Russians are having fewer children, just as the Slavs have been doing (or, rather, not doing) for decades. The Russian population has declined three percent since 1989, from 147 to 142.9 million. The proportion of the population that is ethnic Russian (Slav) has declined from 81.5 percent to 77 percent in that same period.

The rapidly aging Russian population is not only shrinking but is not fit for any major economic or military efforts. During the last decade it was discovered that some 60 percent of Russians are elderly, children, or disabled. Out of 20 million males of working age, one million are in prison, a million in the armed forces (including paramilitaries), five million are unemployed (or unemployable due to poor education, health, or attitude), four million are chronic alcoholics, and a million are drug addicts.

Thus there is something of a labor shortage, with plenty of jobs for women and immigrants. The birth rate is below replacement level and a declining population means more immigrants just to keep things going. Improving medical care and health habits (especially treating alcoholism and drug use) is a government priority, in order to raise the life span of Russian males. That has had some success, and in urban areas you see more Russians out running and going to the many newly built private gyms. But these improvements are not happening quickly enough to reverse the population decline.

If this trend is not reversed, Russia will continue to have a smaller, and less Russian, population.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Actually Putin has managed to halt this decline if not reverse it slightly. They still got a long way to go. Strategy Page sounds a lot like the Jamestown Foundation. Run by Brzezinski types. Cold Warriors who are closeted Russophobes.

Anonymous said...

How did Putin stop or reverse this decline? Where are the statistics to support your statement? This trend was recognized long before Strategy Page published the data.

Anonymous said...

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8468185.stm

http://www.gks.ru/bgd/free/B12_00/IssWWW.exe/Stg/dk12/8-0.htm

http://www.forbes.com/sites/markadomanis/2012/11/29/russias-population-is-growing-for-the-first-time-since-the-early-1990s/

http://www.forbes.com/sites/markadomanis/2012/09/05/russias-demographics-continue-to-improve-natural-population-growth-likely-in-2012/

Some sources you asked for.

And Russia's recent population growth is not due to only migrants coming in, but an actual increase in births by Russian mothers and a decrease in deaths. And yes Putin made it one of his major policies in 2006 to reverse the trend. So far he has succeeded. Does that mean the work is over? Of course not, far from it. There's a lot more to be done. Perhaps you should stop relying on outdated information from 5+ years ago. Brzezinski would love to see Russia torn apart.