Wednesday, October 12, 2011

What Is the Net Effect of the Iranian Terror Plot On American Soil?


This article, written by Walid Phares, from over at Family Security Matters is dynamite. This newest revelation of Iranian efforts to attack and undermine this country....to in essence, reach across the oceans and wreak terror on our very own soil is one of the biggest stories of the decade. Phares not only talks about the effects and future due to this act but discusses the details and intricacies that faced our security personnel in this country.

I will add this - it is my contention that the Iranians honestly knew that their plot may be found out and they DID NOT CARE. Because, the Iranians are convinced that the Obama administration will do nothing to retaliate (other than try some more useless sanctions). This is an act of defiance and an act of in your face. The ayatollah in Tehran has determined that America has a pussy in the White House and he might as well take advantage of the next 12 or 13 months with the spineless wonder in power.

The problem that the ayatollah and mullahs have is this - American elections can bring not only a new face to power but a wholly new resolve. And vengeance. Yes, I said vengeance.




Iran's Botched Act of War in Washington


For the Iranian regime to attempt a terror strike on American soil, and particularly in Washington DC, including a high profile assassination and blowing up two important Middle Eastern embassies, it means that the Ayatollahs have crossed the conventional red line separating them from the previously cautious strategies of Terror. Indeed, on October 11, 2011, according to Federal officials as reported by ABC, FBI and DEA agents have disrupted a plot to commit a “significant terrorist act in the United States” tied to the Iranian regime. US officials said the plot included the killing of the Saudi Arabia’s ambassador to Washington Adel Al-Jubeir, followed by bomb attacks on the Saudi and Israeli embassies within the beltway. According to the report, strikes against the Saudi and Israeli embassies in Buenos Aires, Argentina, were also in the plans. This terror case, coined ”Operation Red Coalition,” started last May when an Iranian-American from Corpus Christi, Texas, sought a Mexican drug cartel to assassinate the Saudi ambassador, according to law enforcement officials. Manssor Arbabsiar, who in fact was intercepted by the DEA thought he was communicating with the powerful Zetas Mexican drug organization.



According to US officials the alleged Terrorist claimed he was being “directed by high ranking members of the Iranian government,” including as reported, a cousin who was “a member of the Iranian army but did not wear a uniform.” Officials believe he is connected to the Revolutionary Guard, the Quds force. This announcement has dramatic consequences on American national security and on the state of confrontation between the US and the Iranian regime.



First effect is the realization -as we projected over the past few years and briefed US officials and lawmakers- – that Iran’s regime has a reach within the US homeland and can mobilize operatives to perform Terror strikes. Against an opposing scholarship that considered such a projection, alarmism, we argued that while al Qaeda and its Salafi allies were acquiring targets and attempting to hit them, the Iranian Jihadi network was acquiring intelligence and waiting for Tehran’s order to move. Hence as we were focusing on the Salafi Jihadists, both alien and homegrown, and as we witnessed dozens of attempts against bridges, tunnels, military bases, the Iranian-controlled net was building its strength for the right moment. And that moment, apparently was supposed to debut in Washington via a spectacular bloodshed with diplomats at its epicenter. The bottom line is that Iran has shown that it has a presence inside the US, and is capable of striking inside cities, including in the capital. In other words, while one Iranian American operative was arrested and another is on the loose, this is not the entire network of the Pasdaran and Hezbollah inside the country. What we witnessed was the activation of a small cell to achieve chilling results. What we need to realize is that the network is omnipresent and dangerous.

Second we need to rejoice that our law enforcement, and in this case the FBI did an impressive job in penetrating and stopping the plot. But relying uniquely on interceptions of cells and operatives to counter the threat may not be a hundred percent guarantee. The national security agencies defending the homeland are in reality our last lines of defenses not the front lines. The latter are in the Middle East where the Iranian regime is building a comprehensive force incorporating Terror networks, petrodollars, insurgents, classical forces and a fleet of missiles which could carry nukes on one morning. The Washington plot, which yet needs to be fully understood, was a strike by the Tehran regime against the capital of the United States. Though it was intercepted by America’s multiple agencies, it nevertheless was a directed by a regional power.

Third, this brings us to the question of motives and scenarios. What were the Tehran strategists thinking? Or what were the unseen parts of this potential strike? Targeting the Saudis in Washington had to have another chapter in the Peninsula. The kingdom is now in the cross hairs of the Mullahs. Assassinating the Monarchy’s ambassador in Washington is logically part of a series of events the Pasdaran and Quds were preparing for, particularly in the Eastern provinces of Saudi Arabia. Fortunately, Tehran’s plot was foiled, but not its plans. The strategic intention of the regime against Riyadh is firm, and so is their intention towards flaring up a war with Israel from Lebanon and perhaps even Syria’s borders. One way Khamanei can help Assad save his skin from the revolt, is to trigger war, even if it would be limited.

Fourth, one would wonder about the boldness of the Iranians in these last years. Why would they be so daring: such as deploying ships in the Eastern Mediterranean via Suez; dominating Lebanon unchecked; sending militia to help Syria’s dictator crush the revolt; and last but not least Iran’s growing presence in the Western Hemisphere. The answer may well be their perception of US lack of will to contain them, let alone stopping them. They have read US unwillingness to “meddle” in the 2009 protests in Iran, as a sign of disengagement, read American retreat. Totalitarians are emboldened not moderated, when they feel their foes pulling back. The late 1930s were tragic examples of accommodating the fascists of Europe. It could be that the Middle East’ Jihadists, particularly the Khomeinist among them are on a similar track: advancing..

1 comment:

Ernest T Bass said...

America has a "pussy" in the Whitehouse now who won't attack Iran right? So if you apply the same logic to every Iranian attack then we had a "pussy" in the Whitehouse in 1979, Carter, a "pussy" in 1982, Ronald "cut and run" Reagan, a "pussy" during the Iraq and Afghan wars, W. "draft dodger" Bush, who not only would not attack Iran but said "NO" when Israel asked for American support for their own attack. Seems like we keep electing these "pussies". You are what you eat I guess. So maybe Lindsey Graham for president? He has a pussy free diet for sure.

Or maybe these men all know something you and I don't. I suspect it has to do with what Iran has the ability to do to our oil supply chain. Access to cheap oil the THE guiding principle of American Middle East policy. An attack on Iran would drive gas prices through the roof, therefore it won't happen.

The fact that Iran has to try to subcontract an assassination to Mexican gangsters means they are weaker than I thought. In a restaurant? Stupid. To rub him out going to or from his car would be much easier and cheaper.