Monday, February 23, 2009

Obama Advisors: Nuclear Iran Wouldn't Be The End Of The World




Good grief - if this article here at the Los Angeles Times doesn't encapsulate the dove-like nature of the Obama administration, I don't know what does. It appears that the feeling among Obama's security advisors is that it's going to be impossible to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons but hold on everyone, hold the phone....these same advisors are saying that the Iranians will be responsible with those nukes! Whew! What a relief, huh? We've all been worried about the crazy lunatic mullahs in Iran have access to nuclear weapons and now, the omnipotent advisors of President Obama are here to assure us it just won't be that bad! Here's some of the details:



If diplomacy fails, another Obama advisor wrote in the same report, the alternative "is a strategy of containment and punishment." That was the conclusion of Ashton B. Carter, Obama's reported choice as an undersecretary of Defense, who also warned: "The challenge of containing Iranian ambitions and hubris would be as large as containing its nuclear arsenal."Most (and maybe all) of Obama's advisors see the costs of attacking Iran as outweighing the benefits. If Iran gets closer to acquiring nuclear weapons, they've warned, military action won't look any more appetizing than it did under George W. Bush.

And there is some optimism among administration officials that a nuclear Iran would practice restraint. Gary Samore, Obama's top advisor on nuclear proliferation, and Bruce Riedel, who is running Obama's review of policy on Afghanistan and Pakistan, wrote last year that a nuclear-capable Iran, while undesirable, would not be the end of the world. For example, they argued, it seems unlikely that Tehran would give nuclear weapons to terrorists."If Iran acquires nuclear weapons, it is likely to behave like other nuclear weapons states, trying to intimidate its foes, but not recklessly using its weapons," Samore and Riedel wrote in a report for the Brookings Institution and the Council on Foreign Relations. "As such, Iran will be subject to the same deterrence system that other nuclear weapons states have accommodated themselves to since 1945."
So there you have it folks...a strategy of "containment" for those nasty nukes with mullahs at the end of the big red button - the same mullahs who have vowed to wipe Israel off the face of the earth. Oh, and you gotta feel a great sense of peace by this statement:



Obama might declare that a nuclear attack on Israel would be treated as an attack on the U.S. homeland.

Enouraging, huh? I mean, I'm sure it is comforting to the Israeli people to hear that if 1.5 million of their people are murdered by an Iranian nuclear attack, the mighty United States under President Obama will consider that bad and might just make Iran pay for it.

These are the people that Obama has surrounded himself with - they have thrown in the towel already - they have resigned the world to having to deal with an Iran with nuclear missiles pointed in four directions. Imagine the OPEC talks in 2011 when Iran wants production of oil severely reduced so oil can return to $180 a barrel and Saudi Arabia declines ....well, the mullahs might just reposition some of those missiles to face Riyadh. How about the new Iraqi government? Who is Iraq gonna follow - the U.S. who gave them their new chance at a new beginning or a neighbor with nuclear weapons?

This excuse by these advisors that Iran will be diligent with their nukes is suicidal - these are the Iranians who held American hostages in Tehran for 2 years, these are the Iranians who fund Hezbollah and Hamas, these are the Iranians who kidnapped British marines and sailors and these are the Iranians who have called the West, "the Great Satan." Thirty days into this U.S. Presidency and the Obama administration has already done three things: 1. They have decided to put the Iraqi victory in jeopardy 2. They have signalled that they don't have the stomach for a war in Afghanistan 3. They have given up on stopping Iranian nuclear weapons.

How's that for getting off to a good start in protecting the American people?



Obama's Iran strategy

President Obama is working against time to untangle 30 years of enmity and prevent Iran from building a nuclear bomb, but even his own advisors know the chance of success is slim.So they also have been working on Plan B: What do we do if Iran gets the bomb? Today, the Obama administration is debating its Iran policy behind closed doors. Last year, however, four of its key appointees wrote about the issue as private citizens, and their writings suggest they are already planning for how to handle a nuclear Iran.Dennis Ross, the former Middle East peace negotiator who is expected to be named as Obama's top Iran advisor, argued for giving diplomacy a chance to work but suggested that containment might have to be the future course of U.S. policy."Maybe, even if we engage the Iranians, we will find that however we do so and whatever we try, the engagement simply does not work," Ross wrote in a September report published by the Center for a New American Security, a think tank that has supplied several appointees to the new administration. "We will need to hedge bets and set the stage for alternative policies either designed to prevent Iran from going nuclear or to blunt the impact if they do."If diplomacy fails, another Obama advisor wrote in the same report, the alternative "is a strategy of containment and punishment." That was the conclusion of Ashton B. Carter, Obama's reported choice as an undersecretary of Defense, who also warned: "The challenge of containing Iranian ambitions and hubris would be as large as containing its nuclear arsenal."

So what should we expect? The contacts with Iran might start with secret talks in Europe between special envoys on both sides, but they're unlikely to begin before Iran's presidential election in June. To pave the way, Obama and his aides have toned down their rhetoric on Iran and talk mostly of outstretched hands and mutual respect. (They are learning to live without the phrase "carrots and sticks," which Iranians say should be used only when talking about donkeys.) Negotiations won't be easy, and they won't be fast. It's not even clear whether the faction-ridden Tehran government will be able to agree on a coherent negotiating position.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Mutually Assured Destruction is why Iran will not use nukes against Isreal- everyone knows Israel has lots of nuclear weapons. The lesson that nations around the world have learned in the last 60 years is that once you have nukes no one will invade you. Has Israel been invaded since 1967? No. Because of the bomb. The fact that the US did not chase even Osama Bin Laden into Pakistan is proof that nuclear weapons are a deterent against even the most powerful nations. Pakistans nukes are more of a threat than Irans will ever be. I've said this before on here but- the biggest fountainhead of terrorism is not Iran but Saudi Arabia. They both fund Hezzbolah and Hamas but only Saudi nationals carried out 9/11, no Persians (or Iraqis) on those planes. Then again - I don't see Israels problems (Hezzbolah and Hamas) as my own the way many of you do.
Hey Holger - check this - about Iran

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/23/opinion/23cohen.html

Holger Awakens said...

Esquerita,

I do appreciate your comments here although we see things from different perspectives.

Iran has publicly on more than one occasion called for the destruction of the nation of Israel and with nukes will be able to attempt that. That is a fact. I don't disagree with you on how the Saudis have contributed to the terrorism in this world but as of right now, the Saudis do not possess the might to threaten Israel. So, in my mind, the Persians are by far a bigger threat.

Also, i contend that the leaders of Iran are mad, clinically insane and so no, I do not trust them to act like other nuclear powers.

And you're right, you don't view Israel and it's protection like I do, that is obvious.

I checked out the link - first of all, that is the 3rd article I've read from the New York Times in over 18 months - there's a reason for that and in that article the Iranian Jew states that he dosn't care if his neighbors call for "Death to Israel" as long as they treat him well. Well, he's a piece of shit and spineless.

:Holger Danske

Anonymous said...

Also - Iran had the first democracy in the Middle East in 1953 and we (US) killed it, then installed a dictator. Now we live with the consequences of that.

Holger Awakens said...

Esq,

I didn't say the "government" of Israel...i said Israel. I have no problem with calling any Jew that turns his/her back on the nation, the people of Israel "spineless."

I live in the present Esq...if is a pretty big word...if i was 6'10" and could jump vertically 40" i'd be in the NBA instead of here. I profess that 50% of the world's problem stem from the country of Iran - the radical islamic regime of the Ayatollah and mullahs. They are the #1 violator of human rights in the world and the #1 violator of non-Iranians rights to live in peace.

:Holger Danske