Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Russian Military Says Israel's Window To Attack Iranian Nukes May Be Only 3-6 Months


Russian military officials, who are talking about selling a sophisticated missile defense system to Iran (and Syria), say that those new systems may narrow the Israeli window of attack on Iranian nuclear sites down to 3 to 6 months from now. Here are some of the details from the article at DEBKA:


Russian military experts calculate that the window for an Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities will shrink to 3-6 months if Moscow sells Iran (and Syria) the sophisticated S-300 system for guarding those sites against air, missile or cruise missile attack. DEBKAfile’s Moscow sources report that Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert failed in the key missions of his Moscow trip to persuade Russian leaders to discuss Tehran’s nuclear weapons program and to refrain from selling this advanced weapon to Iran and Syria.

You will notice one other item in this DEBKA article, that being about Olmert's trip to Russia:


Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov, who the prime minister met Monday, trotted out the standard Russia claim that Moscow had no definite information that Iran is developing a nuclear weapon and is against tougher sanctions.
Prime minister Vladimir Putin was unable to see him.

See that? Israel's acting Prime Minister travels to Russia and Putin "was unable to see him" ???? Hell, Putin would see the head of state of Costa Rica if they showed up in Russia. This is a huge message to both the Israelis and the West, in my view.

I mean, not only are the Russians actively working to protect Iran and Syria, but Putin is sending his buddies in Iran a strong message that he won't actually sit down with that Israeli, Olmert.

I've said it before here, that I think there may be some serious issues with Russia regarding any air strike by Israel on Iranian nuke facilities. I am convinced that Iran and Russia have come to more agreements than just some radar systems and other military sales - I truly believe that the Russians will become involved if the Israelis attack and that is beyond worrisome.

Where Putin and Medvedev are making a big mistake here is for them to buy into this islamist side of the issues. Russia's muslim population is exploding and it won't be long before that Russian landscape looks more like Istanbul than it does Moscow. In the end, Russia will have aided Iran and Syria and in return, they will have bought themselves an islamic revolution in their own land and they better believe it when I say that those Iranians they have helped with nuclear technology and weapons sales, will fire those same weapons on Russia itself if it comes to that. There's an old saying about dancing with the Devil.


Israeli has 3-6 months to hit Iran’s nuclear sites if Moscow sells Tehran S-300 systems

Russian military experts calculate that the window for an Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities will shrink to 3-6 months if Moscow sells Iran (and Syria) the sophisticated S-300 system for guarding those sites against air, missile or cruise missile attack. DEBKAfile’s Moscow sources report that Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert failed in the key missions of his Moscow trip to persuade Russian leaders to discuss Tehran’s nuclear weapons program and to refrain from selling this advanced weapon to Iran and Syria.
President Dmitiry Medvedev’s bureau issued a noncommittal statement Tuesday, Oct. 7, saying that his talks with Olmert were “an exchange of opinion on threats, including terrorism and nonproliferation.” The word “nuclear” was avoided.
Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov, who the prime minister met Monday, trotted out the standard Russia claim that Moscow had no definite information that Iran is developing a nuclear weapon and is against tougher sanctions.
Prime minister Vladimir Putin was unable to see him.
Moscow’s mainstream media came out Tuesday with a rerun of the statement made on Sept. 17 by Anatoly Isaikin, director of the Russian arms exports agency Rosoboronexport, that his firm is in advanced negotiations with Tehran for the sale of the S-300 missiles. However, on Monday, the same firm disowned knowledge of these missiles having been shipped to Iran, although negotiations for their sale were not mentioned.
Konstantin Makiyenko, from the center for strategic and technological analysis think tank in the Russian capital, said these utterances put Israel on notice to stop selling arms to Georgia and training its army.
Moscow does not conceal its intention of selling S-300 missiles to Syria. A Russian military expert commented: “Our warships if based in Syrian ports will need to be encircled by missile batteries capable of guarding them against air and missile attack.”
According to Russian experts, the system is capable of pinpointing 100 targets and simultaneously intercepting 12 at a distance of 120 km.
Our Russian sources made a point of stressing that Moscow is not subject to embargoes on its foreign arms sales or any international restrictions on supplying defensive weapons to other nations.

2 comments:

chicagodudewhotrades said...

First of all, I thought the Syrians already had operational S-300 systems in-country and the Israelis had basically shut those systems down during last September's strike?

I disagree that the Russians will openly side with either Iran or Syria if Israel hits Iran. The Russians just cannot project force into that area too well. I have a personal theory that Russia took far heavier losses (both in equipment and manpower) invading Georgia then they have admitted. If they throw down openly with either Iran or Syria against Israel, the Israelis will clean their clock. I believe this is nothing but Russian bluster to jack up energy prices.

Holger Awakens said...

chidude,

Thanks for stopping by!

I don't know, I guess by reading the article, I concluded that the system that Syria has in place from the Russians that the Israelis shut down on the nuclear facility bombing run, is different from this new technology, but I could certainly be wrong.

At the same time, I disagree with you on the stance Russia is taking. I think the Georgia conflict laid out the lines in the sand of who would be their enemies in the future. Also, we can't discount just how upset the Russians are over defense missile systems going up in Poland and elsewhere in Eastern Europe.

:Holger Danske