Monday, May 11, 2009

How The Taliban Blew It In Pakistan and Brought On The Wrath of Pakistan's Military


This is one of the best pieces on what really has been going on in Pakistan under the headlines and the news coverage I've - this piece here from The National points to the reasons why the Pakistani government finally pulled the trigger on an all out offensive against the Taliban in the Swat Valley and just why they might not let up on that offensive. Here's some of the excerpts from the article:


Yesterday they were holy warriors fighting for the popular cause of Islamic justice. Today Pakistan’s Taliban militants find themselves denounced by the orthodox clergy as infidels.
The Taliban’s fall from public grace over the past month has been dramatic, the slide having been sparked by an ill-timed statement by Sufi Mohammed, the cleric who negotiated a short-lived peace agreement in March between the Swat Taliban and the government of the North West Frontier Province (NWFP).Mr Mohammed caused a political furore when, at a so-called peace rally in Swat on April 19, where hopes that the Taliban would disarm were finally dashed, he declared Pakistan’s constitutional democracy and judicial system un-Islamic and reiterated the militants’ intention to impose their agenda across the country.

And here is the key passage from the article:


Islamist politicians had, up to that point, dared not criticise the Taliban for fear of being branded America’s puppets. Mr Mohammed’s slur against democracy, which extended to many leading clerics with seats in parliament, ended the detente and set the stage for a war of words that has questioned the religious legitimacy of the Taliban.

The criticisms by mainstream clerics have played on a key weakness of the Taliban leadership: their failure to attain advanced Islamic educational qualifications that would empower with the scholarly authority to issue edicts.
It really is fascinating to read the rest of the article as it talks about the lack of education by the main Taliban leaders has cost them dearly in this struggle but the bottom line is one sentence, uttered by Sufi Mohammed has turned the tables on the Taliban. Now, I'm in no way insinuating that the Taliban are going to be defeated in Pakistan but it is obvious that they are getting mauled right now by Pakistani forces and considering how close the Taliban were just a week ago of literally moving into the capital, it's been dramatic how quickly the fall has happened. And this article shows that Barack Obama had NOTHING to do with the Pakistani decision to put the hurt on the Taliban - it was the words of one Taliban leader who pissed off his buddy clerics in the Pakistani parliament that did that.


Clerics turn against ‘ignorant’ Taliban

“By his own reckoning, Sufi Mohammed is at least part infidel,” sneered the Senator Allama Sajid Mir, the head of the Markazi Jamiat Ahl-i-Hadith, a party that follows the Saudi-based Wahhabi school of Islamic thought. The Jamaat-i-Islami and Markazi Jamiat Ahl-i-Hadith represent the right-wing fringe of Muslim thinking in Pakistan and have long campaigned for the enforcement of Islamic laws, with a significant degree of success, despite their modest presence in parliament.
However, the most significant criticism came from the Tableegh-i-Jamaat, an influential movement of proselytisers that is popular among born-again Muslims. It is considered apolitical, having cleansed its ranks of al Qa’eda sympathisers after some embarrassing arrests several years ago, and has a big following among educated, urban Pakistanis, particularly within the civil service and armed forces.
“Islamic law cannot be enforced at gunpoint. People who think that are ignorant [of their faith],” Haji Abdul Wahab, the leader of its Pakistan chapter, told a congregation of thousands in Islamabad on April 27.Predictably, the response of the Swat Taliban was violent: four members of a Tableegh-i-Jamaat mission, preaching in the valley during the last days of the brief peace, were kidnapped and their fate remains unknown.
The criticisms by mainstream clerics have played on a key weakness of the Taliban leadership: their failure to attain advanced Islamic educational qualifications that would empower with the scholarly authority to issue edicts.The commanders of three of Pakistan’s four major Taliban factions – Sufi Mohammed and Maulana Fazlullah of the Swat chapter, Maulvi Faqir Mohammed of the Bajaur tribal agency and Mangal Bagh of the Khyber agency – all studied under the same teacher, the late Maulana Mohammed Tahir of the Panjpeer village seminary in Swabi district of the NWFP.
However, even Mr Tahir’s family confirms that they did not complete their education and bitterly dispute the contention that the students’ actions are reflective of their teacher’s philosophy.“A top government official I recently met made that suggestion. I reminded him of his past political associations to underline the point that it is ridiculous to assume guilt by association,” said his son, a retired intelligence officer, on condition of anonymity.
Islamist party activists said the clash of the ideologues was inevitable because they were competing for the same conservative political audience. They said the Taliban had been waging a cold war against the mainstream Islamist parties in their parliamentary strongholds, threatening, kidnapping and sometimes killing activists.The parties, some of which maintain highly organised, armed cadres of their own, had refrained from taking retaliatory action because it would have undermined their stance against the Nato occupation of Afghanistan and the promotion of Islamic laws in Pakistan, the activists said.
That political priority continues to hold back the Jamaat-i-Islami and Jamiat Ulema-i-Pakistan, a federal government coalition partner with a respectable presence in parliament, from publicly supporting the military operations against the Swat Taliban.But privately, activists concede they might have to switch tack if the Taliban responds with an expected campaign of terror attacks.“An armed conflict is something we want to avoid, but if it comes to that, the Taliban will find themselves confronted with a force led by their teachers – men who led the jihad against Soviet occupation in Afghanistan and Indian forces in Kashmir,” said a senior official of the Jamaat-i-Islami, who requested anonymity.

3 comments:

Ed Miller said...

This type of loss of respect in the religious power structure reminds me of Muqtada al-Sadr's situation in Iraq.

(The "short little fat guy in the black dress" as Geoff Metcalf has called him.)

His militia, the Mahdi Army, finally got stomped by the Shiite government and the Brits, so he called a cease fire fled to Iran.

Of course, his spokesmen say he went to Iran not out of fear, but to continue his Islamic studies so he can become an Ayatollah like his late father.

Then he can have more clout in the Shiite hierarchy.

Until then, he is effectively neutralized.

It's rumored he's been a poor student all his life, so there's another blessing.

So at first blush (I haven't seen other recent reports) this development in Pakistan could be a tipping point.

Go Pakistan Army!

- pupista.

Holger Awakens said...

Ed,

Good stuff man - and you're right, Sadr certainly made his share of bad moves...I remember at one time just after the fall of Saddam, they were nearly at the point of annointing Sadr in Iraq - how quickly things can change, eh?

:Holger Danske

sofa said...

"all politics is local"

Those in power see the end of negotiations, as Taliban make a direct public claim that they want it all and they want it now. So the existing ruling class use the power of the State to retain their positions, power, wealth.

If the Taliban were willing to pay-for-play, they could have worked their way into controlling the gov't in stages. Mis-educating the youth, corrupting the courts and the legislature. But they are impatient.